Eva Vivalt
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Writing

Short pieces on research practice, methods, and academic life.
  • March 31, 2026
    Research
    FRI's survey of how AI will affect the U.S. economy has dropped. How does it line up with reality?
    The survey was conducted October 2025 - February 2026. An AI agent generated plots comparing the forecasts to public data as it becomes available.
  • February 18, 2026
    Methods
    A note on pre-analysis plans in economics
    Some observations from reviewing pre-analysis plans on what they do well, where they remain thin, and why many of the weak spots are predictable rather than accidental.
  • February 12, 2026
    Hiring
    Pre-doctoral fellow position
    I am hiring one or two pre-doctoral fellows at the University of Toronto to work on projects related to guaranteed income, evidence-based policymaking, forecasting, and AI for science.
  • May 26, 2025
    Research
    How much do policymakers weigh context and local expertise when making decisions?
    A short summary of findings from a discrete choice experiment showing that local recommendations and contextual information can substantially influence policy choices.
  • April 30, 2025
    Essay
    Arrogance, brittleness, and start-up culture
    Why some constraints are good, actually (but only some).
  • April 18, 2025
    Academia
    On encouragement
    A warning about over-optimistic career advice in academia.
  • March 31, 2025
    Advice
    On reference letters (for undergraduates)
    Advice for students on when to ask for letters, how to ask, and what kinds of materials make it easier for faculty to write a useful one.
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