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Causal inference:

“How Much Can We Generalize from Impact Evaluations?” (conditionally accepted at the Journal of the European Economics Association).

“Specification Searching and Significance Inflation Across Time, Methods and Disciplines” (forthcoming at the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, advance online publication here).

“Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Impact Evaluation”
American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 105(5): 467–470.

AidGrade’s site

Coverage of research on this theme:

Popular articles, podcasts, blog posts and talks:

Basic income / cash transfer programs:

Y Combinator Research’s Basic Income RCT with David Broockman, Sarah Miller, Elizabeth Rhodes, and Alex Bartik

This is a large project in the U.S. that will test the impact of receiving $1,000/month, unconditionally, for 3 years. An older overview of the project can be found here. Researchers may contact me privately for pre-analysis plans on any of the following 11 topics (some of which may merge but which are currently envisaged as separate papers):

  • Employment, work quality, and job search
  • Time use
  • Income, expenditures, and financial health
  • Health outcomes
  • Cognitive outcomes
  • Material wellbeing
  • Subjective, psychological, and social wellbeing
  • Political and social attitudes
  • Children’s educational outcomes
  • Intrahousehold outcomes
  • Migration and housing outcomes

Another cash transfer study is in development.

Development economics:

“How Do Policymakers Update?” with Aidan Coville (in preparation)

“The Implications of Variance Neglect for the Formation and Estimation of Subjective Expectations” with Aidan Coville (under review)

“Weighing Evidence: Which Attributes Matter?” with Aidan Coville (in preparation)

Older papers